Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.235137 0.271429 0.311256 0.358176 0.411917 0.471524 0.542631
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.187753 0.237336 0.296606 0.372564 0.467222 0.581197 0.728770
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.147340 0.202499 0.273816 0.372518 0.505319 0.677542 0.917596
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.116991 0.173832 0.252887 0.370372 0.540012 0.775495 1.126590
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.094732 0.151392 0.235731 0.369625 0.575977 0.880898 1.364432
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.078362 0.134050 0.222357 0.371411 0.615394 0.997272 1.638091
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.067018 0.122159 0.214894 0.380578 0.667296 1.140451 1.976727
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.056182 0.108772 0.202290 0.378589 0.700073 1.257598 2.291991
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.049065 0.100500 0.196839 0.387746 0.753165 1.416580 2.703673
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.041526 0.089810 0.184880 0.382512 0.778755 1.530239 3.051482
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.036528 0.083141 0.179324 0.388427 0.826193 1.690824 3.511485
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.030904 0.073950 0.166934 0.378099 0.839156 1.786329 3.858300
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.027946 0.070168 0.165469 0.391133 0.904013 1.997862 4.478954
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.025478 0.067017 0.164833 0.405958 0.975476 2.234456 5.190637
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.022365 0.061617 0.158023 0.405335 1.012132 2.401801 5.777932
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.019598 0.056491 0.150892 0.402620 1.043447 2.562057 6.374681
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.017316 0.052146 0.144872 0.401549 1.078581 2.736512 7.032136
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.015473 0.048612 0.140274 0.403305 1.121165 2.935251 7.779332
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.014178 0.046383 0.138769 0.413110 1.186463 3.199885 8.731717
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.012613 0.042973 0.133301 0.410872 1.218996 3.386257 9.511843
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.011626 0.041159 0.132106 0.420726 1.286887 3.675255 10.607168
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.010305 0.037937 0.126060 0.415022 1.309262 3.845350 11.405760
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.009458 0.036130 0.124054 0.421397 1.368566 4.126628 12.557902